
Livewire | 50% of the global economy is missing from most Aussie portfolios. Here’s how to add it in
Cameron Robertson
Portfolio Manager, Platinum Asia Strategy
I heard an extraordinary fact recently that stopped me in my tracks – approximately 60% of the global population lives in Asia.
Yet for many Australian investors, “global” still largely means the United States. Over the past two decades, the world’s economic landscape has shifted significantly, and one would argue that nowhere has that shift been more profound than across Asia.
The region’s transformation from export-driven growth to increasingly powerful domestic economies has reshaped global trade, consumption and capital markets, with China now central to that story.
The Platinum Asia Fund (ex-Japan) is one of the rare managed funds to have navigated this change over more than 20 years.
I spoke with portfolio manager Cameron Robertson about what has sustained the strategy through multiple market cycles, and how investing in Asia provides exposure to the world’s largest population centres, along with all the opportunities for investors this creates.
INTERVIEW SUMMARY
Two decades on the ground
Robertson says Platinum’s connection to Asia predates the firm itself.
“Platinum’s got a history with Asia that dates back to before the start of the firm, the founders had been going there and investing in the region at their prior role. So it’s really been a part of the firm’s culture from the start.”
That continuity has allowed the team to build familiarity not just with companies, but with the people and systems behind them.
“You build up an understanding of the entrepreneurs, the families, the interplay with regulators, governments, which really helps give the confidence you need to ride out some of these cycles that you sometimes get in less developed markets.”
A region transformed
Robertson says that though their underlying investment philosophy hasn’t changed over the years, the opportunity set has.
“You think about China, India… the tools of the job and the opportunity set has changed enormously. China’s now absolutely the centre of the world economy.”
Markets also once considered too small to matter are now becoming investable in their own right.
“You’re also seeing some of the smaller markets – Indonesia, Malaysia, Thailand, Vietnam – starting to come into their own as consumers are getting wealthier and those economies are continuing to develop.”
Beyond the tech narrative
Technology supply chains in Taiwan and Korea remain important, but Robertson says the region is far broader than just the tech opportunity. Some of the most compelling opportunities are appearing in areas currently out of favour.
China, despite being out of favour with many investors following its property crisis, remains one of the fund’s largest geographic exposures, accounting for close to half of the portfolio.
These valuation gaps have also extended to Southeast Asia, with countries such as Vietnam and Indonesia standing out.
Robertson highlights Astra International (IDX: ASII), Indonesia’s dominant automotive distributor with roughly 50% market share, as an example of structural growth mispriced by markets.
"In Australia, we sell over 1.2 million cars a year. In Indonesia, a population 10 times the size, they're only selling about 800,000. So we sell 50% more cars for a population one-tenth the size.
As you go from $4,000 to $10,000 GDP per capita, we expect the size of that industry could grow sixfold or eightfold - and you're only having to pay eight times earnings."
A diversification investors may be missing
For Robertson, the investment case for Asia isn’t just about returns but the concentration risk in most Australian portfolios.
“I think for most people when they look at their portfolio, they’ll probably find that it’s very heavily skewed to the US. Makes sense. Markets in the US have done very well. People have ended up chasing performance there and even just naturally letting that position grow,” he says.
However, “they probably recognise that they’ve got quite a lot of concentration into that market, and perhaps even quite specifically into tech sectors.”
Robertson says Asia offers a way to rebalance that exposure while still accessing growth.
“It’s more than half of the world’s global population. It is today the beating heart of the world’s economy. And I think most people, when they look at their own portfolios, they’ll find that’s just not expressed.”
Managing the risks
Investing in developing markets inevitably brings different risks, particularly around governance and regulation.
“That’s really the value of having an experienced fund manager who knows the region, knows the companies, knows the founders and the families behind them,” Robertson says.
Portfolio construction, diversification and the ability to manage currency exposure or short markets, he says, are all part of navigating those complexities.
“Our job is to navigate those risks and try to dodge the minefields that can be present in some of those emerging markets.”
"We've got a lot of tools there, and essentially that's our job to take the opportunity set, put that together in a nice package to deliver the clients a great outcome."
Learn more about Platinum’s approach to investing in Asia
Explore how the Platinum Asia Fund navigates market cycles, technological disruption and long-term structural growth opportunities.
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Disclaimer
The above information is commentary only (i.e. our general thoughts). It is not intended to be, nor should it be construed as, investment advice. To the extent permitted by law, no liability is accepted for any loss or damage as a result of any reliance on this information. Before making any investment decision you need to consider (with your financial adviser) your particular investment needs, objectives and circumstances.
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